听力文本

question
（问题）
yes yes absolutely
当然
of course when I have to see what the economic news brings
我一直都会跟进经济方面的新闻
I did read that the prominent Republican talk radio host Rush Limbaugh is already blaming the economic crisis on Obama
我曾听过一个着名的共和党电台主持林博已经将金融危机归咎于奥巴马
that was sort of anticipation of an Obama victory
似乎他当时已默认奥巴马会赢得大选
and well we did see after the election the stock market fell again
的确 奥巴马当选后 股票立刻暴跌
so Limbaugh that's yet more evidence this is one of the big factors behind it
虽然林博所说的没有太多证据 但这的确是一个重要的原因
I should note that a number of other very right-wing conservative radio hosts
我还发现很多其他的右翼保守派电台主持人
actually after the election has some pretty kind words to say for Obama, but not Rush
都在大选后 说过一些奥巴马的好话 林博除外

yes
请提问
question is on controversies over voting irregularity
他的问题人们对于投票的无规律性的讨论
at the county level there are some
从县级数据上投票规律的确较弱
and if you look at 5 38 for example where you get this real heavy statistical analysis
你可以在5 38上找到一些例子 你在那个网站上可以找到深入的数据分析
here you look at some counties where the return is just bizarre
用这些数据和一些县的实际情况对比 你会发现一些奇怪的情形
they just don't seem in line with what they should be
实际的投票结果和分析的并不一致
and simply from a statistical vantage point
仅从数据的不一致上来分析
he's able to say it looks like something fuzzy is going on it
这有可能是由一些不可知的因素导致的
but these are small and isolated incidents
但这都是些低概率的独立事件
certainly whenever you're gonna have a razor-thin margin
这种不一致性常常发生在支持率相差无几的选举中
as you did in 2000
例如2000年的大选
you're gonna have controversies like that
这种选举结果当然更具争议性
where you have that what was a 60% or so margin
而如果一方以60%以上的支持率获胜
that's big enough, it's really not an issue
不一致性导致的差异可以被忽略
it'll be interesting to see with the Minnesota Senatorial Race
我们可以关注一下 明尼苏达的参议员选举
because it is statistically speaking a tight race
从数据来看 双方目前不相上下
and it'll be interesting to see how that plays itself out
我们可以对最后的结果 拭目以待

视频及简介
这一集仔细分析了08年美国总统大选的选情，从教育程度、宗教、人种、郊县的发展趋势等各方面阐述了奥巴马获胜的原因，以及民主党08年支持率上升的具体趋势。亮点：是投给民主党还是共和党呢？这里面的奥妙特别多。跟性别、年龄、受教育程度、富裕程度、人种、宗教都有关系。80多岁老人可能更倾向于民主党，因为奥巴马对经济危机的乐观态度和许以民众的美好未来，让他们想起了罗斯福在面临大萧条时的英雄形象，对此，他们常怀感激。