听力文本

We'll end the class with this election, the election of 2008
讲完这次选举就下课了，那就是今年 08年的大选
and I'm really hoping we can get good county level maps
我想要反应县级选情的地图
really give a fine scale on analysis to that
从而我们可以作更细致的分析
by that time we'll be used to looking at different counties
以后我们会习惯于观察不同的县
In the county patterns and of course we'll be looking at the states patterns as well
观察他们的选情和投票倾向，当然我们也会继续观察州的情况
This is from a few days ago
这是几天前的一幅地图
It's interesting why Nebraska and Maine have little squares in them. Does anybody know?
奇怪的是，内布拉斯加州和缅因州内部有一些小正方形。有人知道为什么吗？
They are the only states that split their electoral votes
因为全国只有这2个州拆分了他们的选举人票
There are five electoral votes from Nebraska
内布拉斯加州共有5个选举人票

Two sort of associate with senators whoever wins Nebraska wins those two votes
其中两票和参议员有关，在该州当选的两名参议员拥有这两票
and the other three have to do with congressional districts whoever wins the congressional districts wins those
另外三票分给众议员选举区，当选该区众议员者拥有此票
So you can see the far eastern part in Nebraska possibility of Obama electoral vote pick-up there
可见内布拉斯加最东部的选区最有可能转为支持奥巴马
How does this maps compare to the ones we were looking up in 2000,2004
与我们一直在研究的00 04年地图相比
We'll see same patterns but with something interesting differences
我们在这幅地图上看到了相似的格局，但也有不同之处
We still see the same strongly republican zone in the southeast
东南部地区仍强烈支持共和党
in the plain states all but not North Dakota and Montana Remember there? a little different
在大平原地区的州几乎没变，除了北达科他州和蒙大拿州发生了一点小变化
like I say, there is as today they are supposed showing North Dakota split 50-50 right now
我说过现在在北达科他州两党几乎打成平手
Very interesting, it's been a long time. again I think it's 1964
很有意思，已经很久没出现这样的局面了。我想上次是1964年
So last time North Dakota voted for democratic presidencial candidate
是北达科他最近一次投票给民主党候选人
At the state level, not at the presidential level that will be interesting to see
他们已很久没在大选中支持民主党，所以现在的状况很值得注意
New Mexico pretty clearly in the democratic camp, Colorado trending that way
新墨西哥很明显倾向民主党阵营，科罗拉多州也是
Nevada looks like it maybe trending that way as well
连内华达也看似有这个倾向
The biggest changing has to do with the far east. here is Virginia
最大的变化在于最东部的选情。弗吉尼亚州
which has been, like I say one of the most consistently republican voting states for a long time
我说过是最坚定不移支持共和党的州之一
Now it's trending pretty clearly both especially for the senatorial election but also for the presidential election
现在明显倾向民主党无论是在参议员选举上还是在总统大选上
Virginia's changed especially the growth suburbs of Washington D.C
弗吉尼亚正在改变，尤其随着华盛顿D.C的城郊的发展
Big population concentration now
该地区聚集了大量人口
In electoral terms that areas is part of mid-Atlantic now, It's not part of the south
从选区的角度而言，弗吉尼亚现在属于大西洋中部地区已不再属于南部

视频及简介

本课程结合大量地图，探索了美国总统大选（包括过去和现在）中的地理学，并且对仅仅简单把美国分为红州（共和党）和蓝州（民主党）这一说法提出挑战。现实中，美国社会两党的情况，远比这种简单的两分法要复杂。