听力文本

A lot of these areas have lost population, unless like Santa Fe and Taos they can attract wealthier outsiders
但这些区域的居民数在下降，不像圣大非和陶斯县能够吸引以西富裕的外地人
And those wealthier outsiders will tend to be Democratic voting anyway, again people going for the arts and the natural amenities
而这些富裕的外地人常常倾向支持民主党，还是那个原因，为艺术或自然环境移民的人（倾向支持民主党）
Culturally they tend to be fairly conservative
但他们在文化上的观念却较为保守
Probably even more sort of a lot of other Hispanics, that was one reason why the Republicans thought they would be able to get the Hispanic vote
很多西班牙裔都较为保守，这也是共和党人认为在西班牙裔中有机可乘的原因
Because a lot Hispanics are fairly conservative on cultural issues, on abortion, on gay rights, and these sort of things
因为很多西班牙裔对待一些文化事件态度都非常保守，如在堕胎，同性恋权益等问题上的态度
But then the big upsurge of anti-immigrant sentiment within the Republican Party, I think was the big break there, turning Hispanic voters away
但后来共和党涌现出来的反移民态度造成了选民态度的转折，将西班牙裔的选票拱手相让
Of course, not all, I think McCain is polling about 33% or so among Hispanic voters
当然，并不是全部，麦凯恩在西班牙裔中的支持率约为33%

And I don't know about these counties here, but I suspect that Barack Obama will do very well in those areas
我不太了解这些县的民调情况，但我觉得奥巴马应该会在这个区域取得不错的成绩
It's also very heavily Catholic, yes, yes very heavily Catholic
同时他们是非常信仰天主教的，没错，他们非常信仰天主教
Catholics right now, if you take Catholic as a whole very much in the middle,
现在的天主教，如果你纵观整个中部的情况
Catholic used to be very much identified with the Democratic Party, now it's about 50 50
过去信天主教往往与支持民主党画上等号，现在的情况是一半一半
and again a lot of it is going to depend on frequency of a tendence of Mass where the more observant Catholics
而且这常常与做弥撒的频率有关，那些更严格遵守教规的天主教徒
tend to be more Republican voting, now on the less observant Catholics tend to be more Democratic voting
常常更倾向共和党，而不太注重宗教仪式的天主教徒则更倾向民主党
I don't know what Mass tendence rates are in that area, that will be an interesting thing to look at
我不知道那里的西班牙裔弥撒频率如何，这是个值得观察的规律

视频及简介

这一集讲述了1972-2004年总统大选的历史与过程,介绍了近几届以来红蓝阵营的地理分布变化以及变化原因，对1972-2000年的总统选举进行了简略解释并非常详细地分析了2004年大选，对于全美大部分州的选情都进行了详尽的分析，可以阐述了08年大选前民调的趋势，可以从中瞥见近几年美国总统选举的发展变化。