听力文本

But they get... that's based on population, but then they have 2 senators
众议院数与人口成比例，但他们仍然有2个参议员
And they get an electoral vote for every senator and member of the House, so you have Montana, Wyoming, South Dakota
每个参议员和众议院都占有一张选举人票，所以蒙大拿，怀俄明，南达科他
North Dakota with 3 electoral votes, now from the Democratic side, you also have Delaware, Vermont
北达科他都有3张选举人票，而支持民主党的小人口州则有德拉华州，佛蒙特州
District of Columbia, so there are sort of sum balancing, but overall this is to the Republican's advantage
和哥伦比亚特区，所以总数上两党还是基本平衡的，但这种制度总体上对共和党更有利
because even Nebraska has 5 I believe, for Nebraska also had the odd split
因为连内布拉斯加州都有5票，内布拉斯加的选举人票是分割开的
And it is where the majority winner gets the 2 electoral votes for the Senate but then each House District goes its own way
获得多数选民投票候选人能获得参议员的两票，剩下3个选区则自行决定支持谁

And it has been speculated that Obama could conceivably get
根据目前的预测，奥巴马如无意外能够
the easternmost congressional district in Nebraska. It doesn't look like that right now but it's possible
获得内布拉斯加最东部选区的选票，虽然现在还没见分晓，但可能性很大
so yes that's just one of these oddities of the American political system and it does give actually, of course in the Senate it's even more magnified
这种不平衡的确是美国总统选举制度中一个奇怪的地方，这种制度的确放大了参议员的作用
sure updated with the 10 years' census, so there is a lag time and you can see there's a lot of movements in between
当然，这是根据10年的统计数据绘制的数据统计导致时间滞后，你会发现这10年中让你看发生了很大变化
It takes time to catch up
需要时间去跟踪这些数据
but what we have really been seeing in the electoral college is a drop in the electoral votes for states like Michigan
但我们的确发现人口变化一些州的选举人票下降了，如密歇根州

视频及简介

这一集讲述了1972-2004年总统大选的历史与过程,介绍了近几届以来红蓝阵营的地理分布变化以及变化原因，对1972-2000年的总统选举进行了简略解释并非常详细地分析了2004年大选，对于全美大部分州的选情都进行了详尽的分析，可以阐述了08年大选前民调的趋势，可以从中瞥见近几年美国总统选举的发展变化。