听力文本

another thing we talked about was fast growing counties
我们还讨论过那些发展迅速的县
this is not in absolute numbers but in percentage terms
这里显示的不是支持人数的绝对值 而是百分比
this is from 2000 to 2006
这是00到06年间发展最快的县
and what I have here is the McCain vote first and then in parenthesis the Bush vote
第一个百分比是今年麦凯恩的支持率 而括号里的是04年布什的支持率
I have underlined those
我给（麦凯恩失守的县）加了下划线
well, first of all
首先要说的是
I should mention as I said the other week
我前几周应该也说过
that George Bush in 2004 won all these counties in fact as I said
布什04年的时候拿下了表中的所有县 我说过 04年时
I gave up after the 30 fastest growing counties and Bush won them all
我找出了发展最快的前30个县的选情 发现他们全部支持布什

I don't know how far I would have to go down
不知道往后找多少才会看到一个例外
quite different this time
这次却非常不同
you can see Loudoun County, Virginia, Osceola Florida, Newton Georgia, Kendall Illinois
例如弗吉尼亚州的劳登县 佛罗里达的奥西欧拉县 乔治亚的牛顿县 伊利诺伊的肯达尔县
in Florida as well a number of these real rapidly growing
在佛罗里达州 有不少像这样发展迅速的县
ex-urban counties
在准城郊的县
counties on the fringe switching from the Republican to the Democratic category
都处于逐渐从共和党阵营转向民主党的边缘
and almost all of the rest they were Democratic gains
在其他快速增长县民主党支持率也有增加
gains for Obama
更多人愿意支持奥巴马
so you can see Rockwall Texas very near Dallas still very solidly Republican voting
例如德州的罗科沃尔县 离达拉斯很近 仍然极为倾向共和党
but not quite as much as it was before
但支持率对比04年已有所下降
from 79% for Bush to 73%
从对布什的79%变为73%
Forsyth County, Georgia north-east of Atlanta
亚特兰大东北部的福赛斯县
very Republican that it had been 83% now it's 79%
04年对共和党支持率高达83% 现在也下降到79%了
so we can really see some shifting here
发生在这些县的转变是显而易见的

视频及简介
这一集仔细分析了08年美国总统大选的选情，从教育程度、宗教、人种、郊县的发展趋势等各方面阐述了奥巴马获胜的原因，以及民主党08年支持率上升的具体趋势。亮点：是投给民主党还是共和党呢？这里面的奥妙特别多。跟性别、年龄、受教育程度、富裕程度、人种、宗教都有关系。80多岁老人可能更倾向于民主党，因为奥巴马对经济危机的乐观态度和许以民众的美好未来，让他们想起了罗斯福在面临大萧条时的英雄形象，对此，他们常怀感激。