听力文本

It's interesting though, there are a number of other counties in the same area
有趣的是，附近地区还有一些其他的县
That they have the same characteristics, some in Tennessee and a few other places as well
也有着相同的特征，例如一些在田纳西及其他区域的县
So, oh yeah, ok, here is Tennessee, you can see ok, so, here is what's interesting to know here is
来看田纳西的选情，这里你会看到一个有趣的现象
Nashville Davidson County Democratic voting, suburbs heavily Republican
戴维森县所在的纳什维尔是泛蓝的，而其周边的城郊则一片深红
Here's Memphis over here Democratic voting, the outer fringe Republican voting
同样孟菲斯市也是泛蓝的，而它的外围也是一圈红色
Eastern Tennessee, cities like Chattanooga and Knoxville, very Republican voting even in the cities and this goes way back
田纳西东部，如查塔努加和诺克斯维尔市，则连城市中心都是泛红的，追溯到过去
This is an area that when the Democrats and the Republicans did their geographical switch, it didn't happen here
该区域对共和党的支持，即使在支持民主党和共和党的地理区域发生对调的时候也仍然坚定不移
It's been Republican voting since right after the Civil War
这里从南北战争时期就开始坚定支持共和党

No plantations here, they really dislike the plantation culture of the center especially of the far west
这里没有种植园，这里的居民对中部尤其是西部的种植园文化不感兴趣
and has maintained this Republican voting pattern and again even though
从而维持了这种支持共和党的模式，我们再次看到，即使
you get up in the place like Oak Ridge that get high levels of education but also Republican
是在橡树岭这种，受教育程度极高的地方也倾向共和党
But we can find counties, a number of counties up here are the same
同时我们也找到一些县和刚才描述的克莱县情况相似
As we saw Stewart County, small, white, poor, fundamentalist
例如斯图尔特县，人少，白人为主，贫穷，基要主义盛行
George Wallace had a plurality here in 1968, yet voting for Kerry, not by a huge margin
华莱士在68年以明显优势拿下该县，而它上次也倾向克里，虽然获胜优势不明显
but a lot of the nearby counties with the same demographic characteristics, yet have Kerry being crushed
但它附近几个人口特征与其相似的县也都倾向克里
So what's the difference
这到底是为什么呢

视频及简介

这一集讲述了1972-2004年总统大选的历史与过程,介绍了近几届以来红蓝阵营的地理分布变化以及变化原因，对1972-2000年的总统选举进行了简略解释并非常详细地分析了2004年大选，对于全美大部分州的选情都进行了详尽的分析，可以阐述了08年大选前民调的趋势，可以从中瞥见近几年美国总统选举的发展变化。