听力文本

Virginia could be really interesting things about Virginia you can see on the map
弗吉尼亚 弗吉尼亚，很有意思的是 你可以从地图中看到
Virginia all the cities are not part of counties
弗吉尼亚的城市都不被看作县的一部分
every incorporated city is an entity under itself and is treated in election that as if it were a county
每个地跨多县的城市都被看作一个实体 在大选中被看作一个和县一样的单位
so you can see city level here that you can't see otherwise
所以这里你可以看到其他州都没有的单个城市的选情
you can see a place like Roanoke, the city going for Kerry and the county going for Bush
例如你看到罗诺克市 这个城市是支持克里的 但它所在的县则支持布什
Danville it's the same
丹维尔市也是一样
here's Richmond the city as going but all of the county which is where most the people live going for Bush
里奇蒙市也倾向民主党 但它所在的整个县是弗吉尼亚人口最密集的县，倾向布什
you can see University of Virginia here
你还会看到弗吉尼亚大学

big population concentration in the Hampton Roads area, Virginia Beach-Newport News some of the city cores yes going for Kerry
聚集了大量人口的汉普顿海峡区域，弗吉尼亚滩，纽波特纽斯等城市的中心都是支持克里的
most of the counties certainly going for Bush
而大部分的县级区域则支持布什
real key area is northern Virginia where there has been a major change
最关键的是弗吉尼亚北部 这里发生过很大的变化
it used to be the D.C. suburbs in Maryland were Democratic voting, the D.C. suburbs in Virginia were Republican voting
过去哥伦比亚特区靠近马里兰的郊区是倾向民主党的 靠近弗吉尼亚的郊区是倾向共和党的
that's really changed
如今已大不相同
so in this map we have Fairfax County, Arlington and Alexandria are going for Kerry
我们还能看到菲尔费克斯县 阿灵顿和亚历山大是支持克里的
Loudoun County Prince William County going for Bush
它们所在的劳登县和威廉王子县则支持布什
this is probably going to be another change
这里的选情也很有可能出现变化
actually I heard people say the election could be decided in Prince William County
我甚至听有的人说过这次大选 鹿死谁手全看威廉王子县的选情了
well that's an exaggeration
当然，这是种夸张的说法
but there has been a real transformation here in northern Virginia over the last 4 years and even before then
但北弗吉尼亚地区在过去4年的确在发生转变 也许不止4年前
Virginia hasn't gone for a Democratic candidate since 1964 which is one of the most solidly Republican voting states and that's really changed
弗吉尼亚自1964年以来就没再选过民主党候选人 是最坚定的共和党阵营之一 而情况正在发生转变

视频及简介

这一集讲述了1972-2004年总统大选的历史与过程,介绍了近几届以来红蓝阵营的地理分布变化以及变化原因，对1972-2000年的总统选举进行了简略解释并非常详细地分析了2004年大选，对于全美大部分州的选情都进行了详尽的分析，可以阐述了08年大选前民调的趋势，可以从中瞥见近几年美国总统选举的发展变化。