听力文本

So yes pollsters are making advances but the ground are shifting under their feet
即使调查者的工具更先进了，但他们无法左右的改变也在发生
So it's an important point to bring out. yes!
认识这一点是很重要的。请说!
Yeah, the comment is there are more messaging numbers in these polls
他说现在民调使用的调查方式越来越多，
partly because pollsters are often finding themselves coming up with the wrong numbers
一部分是因为调查者常发现他们得到的数据不正确
And the example was made California primary were thought to be had Obama doing very well based on the internet
例如加州初选时曾有调查显示：奥巴马支持率很高，但调查是在网上进行的
Those people with access to the internet tending to be more favorably disposed to Obama versus those who haven't it more favorably disposed to Clinton
能上网的人都属于倾向于支持奥巴马的人群，不上网的人则更倾向希拉里
It's the way it probably came out, so yeah! then they have to try to take that into account
这导致调查结果失真，没错！调查者要考虑到这些误差
How well they are doing, we'll see it at the end of the class
他们调查结果是否准确，上完这节课（大选结束时）就见分晓了
That's all I can say. Yes, in the back?
我只能这么说。后排同学，什么问题？

So the comment is the pollsters are getting the number of voter registration cards which will assuming include cell phone numbers
他说调查者能通过选举注册卡来获得选民的电话号码
How would you even know?
你怎么知道这个细节的?
I'm over my head here in polling information, as not something I've looked at much. thank you again!
关于调查的方法我也很混乱，我很少关注这个问题。谢谢你的补充
People in the class know more than I do, so that's very helpful
班上的同学知道的比我还多，给我们很多有用的信息
I guess we're out of time but thank you so much a couple of comments
我想这节课时间差不多了，非常感谢你们，谢谢你们的讨论
Again I'd like to thank ITunes University
再次，我要感谢Itunes U
If you go to website for the class. They are going to be a discussion feature. If you want to post a commentor question you can do so
如果你们上网找这门课，上面会有一个评论的平台，你们可以在上面发布自己的看法或提问
The reading assignment the most important thing
给你们布置一项阅读作业
It's really the atlas of the US presidential election and we'll go through about half of that next week
回去看美国总统大选地图集，下周我会讲完其中一半的地图

视频及简介

本课程结合大量地图，探索了美国总统大选（包括过去和现在）中的地理学，并且对仅仅简单把美国分为红州（共和党）和蓝州（民主党）这一说法提出挑战。现实中，美国社会两党的情况，远比这种简单的两分法要复杂。