听力文本

Here's something I'm trying to figure out, some of these oddities
这里要提到一些值得思考的奇怪现象
Why these counties here small agricultural and white
为什么这些白人为主的小型农业县
Big Stone County here for example where some of these counties down here
如大石湖县及其周边的一些县
Why Democratic voting, we go across the border into Iowa, we'll see lots of farm counties in Iowa, Democratic voting
为什么会倾向民主党，如果仔细观察爱荷华州界上的县，也会发现很多农业县支持民主党
Why would that be? when farm counties tend elsewhere not to be
原因何在？其他地方的农业县一般都倾向共和党
Now let's look at our cases, what brand of Lutherans may practice
让我们来分析分析，看路德教在这当中可能起到的作用
Evangelical Lutheran Church, that's a liberal Lutheran church, that's the theologically and socially liberal
福音信义教会，是路德派中较为开放的教会，他们的教义及社会态度都较为开化
And you can see concentration here along there
地图中可以看到其教徒较为集中的区域

Compared to the Missouri Synod which is the conservative Lutheran branch, the fundamentalist branch, we can see many more in Nebraska
与密苏里路德教徒的分布作比较，密苏里分会是路德教较为保守的分支，他们忠于原教旨思想，他们也集中分布在内布拉斯加州
but actually that county we're just talking about, Big Stone County Democratic voting
但我们刚才提到的，支持民主党的大石湖县
mostly conservative Lutherans, so no, again, I'm just sort of playing around with these ideas
大部分居民都是保守的路德教信徒，所以我很疑惑，这只是我的一些思考
I don't want to spend too much time in Iowa, as I want to get out of the mid-west
我不想花太多时间讲爱荷华州，我想尽快讲完中西部州区
but as I said before it is interesting that it has a lot of the more urban areas, so there's Des Moines of Democratic voting
但我说过，爱荷华有个有趣的现象，它的很多城区如得梅因市，是支持民主党的
Cedar Falls, Cedar Rapids, Davenport, Dubuque, they're all Democratic voting, but a lot of the farm counties are Democratic voting, too
锡达福尔斯，锡达拉皮兹，达文波特，迪比克等城市都支持民主党，奇怪的是很多农业县也支持民主党
Although barely, yes it's the real purple area
尽管优势很微弱，这些都是泛紫色区域
The only really red area now you can see is the far corner up here
你能看见唯一一个明显的泛红区域，是西北角的县区
The far north-east, Sioux County for example, there we can really find a clear ethnic correlation
如东北的苏县，泛深红，这显然和人种因素有关

视频及简介

这一集讲述了1972-2004年总统大选的历史与过程,介绍了近几届以来红蓝阵营的地理分布变化以及变化原因，对1972-2000年的总统选举进行了简略解释并非常详细地分析了2004年大选，对于全美大部分州的选情都进行了详尽的分析，可以阐述了08年大选前民调的趋势，可以从中瞥见近几年美国总统选举的发展变化。