听力文本

County Population Size
各县的人口规模
it's interesting we've talked before about population density being a fairly good predictor
也是我们之前提到过一个有趣的因素 人口密度常被用来预测一个县的倾向
the more densely populated the county the more Democratic voting it tends to be
一个县的人口越稠密 它就越可能倾向民主党
this is...
下面的数据
table is showing counties over 500,000 population voting 70% for Obama
显示人口超过50万的县 有70%的人支持奥巴马
50,000-500,000 voting 69%
人口在5万-50万之间的支持率为69%
suburbs which can have various populations and they are counted separately here
各地城郊的人口数量变化很大 因此被单独拿出来统计
just barely going for Obama 50% but again this is something new
总体上只有50%的人支持奥巴马 但这折射出了一种新的局面
the suburbs as recently as the 1980s were some of the most solidly Republican voting areas
在20世纪80年代城郊 几乎是共和党最为忠实的支持地区
there's been a real switch
如今不少地方
in some parts of the country more than others, which we'll see later on
都已经发生了较大转变 稍后我们会作深入讨论

when we get down into the smaller counties
再来看人口规模较小的县
small towns small counties 10,000-50,000
人口在1万-5万的小城镇
53% for McCain
有53%的人支持麦凯恩
interesting in even smaller ones very rural counties, exactly the same breakdown
有趣的是在人口更为稀少的农村地区 支持率情况竟和小城镇一摸一样
so we're not seeing much difference from the very rural to merely the small towns and semi-rural counties
可见选民的投票倾向在欠发达的农村地区 和小镇或半农村地区没什么差别
Education Level, again this is something we've talked about
受教育程度 这也是我们之前讨论过的影响因素
and you see the split pattern that we've seen before
这里的统计数据和以前看过的相似
those who have not finished high school pretty small, there's only four percent
高中没毕业的人只占极少数 大概只占总人口4%
very strongly voting for the Democratic candidate
该人群极为倾向民主党候选人
63% for Obama
63%的人支持奥巴马
and then the post-graduate community those with post-graduate degrees 58% for Obama, 40% for McCain
而在研究生群体中 有研究生学历的人当中 58%支持奥巴马 40%支持麦凯恩
so it's the lowest and highest levels of education that the Democratic candidate tended to do best
可见在受教育程度最高和最低的两群人中 民主党候选人都是最受青睐的
we saw this as well
同时我们还发现
one thing is interesting though
另一个有趣的现象
in every educational demographic
在受教育程度不同的人群当中
the Democratic candidate Barack Obama came out ahead
民主党候选人奥巴马 都处于领先地位
just barely among college graduate
不过在大学生中仅有微弱优势
which again not very long ago this is a pretty solidly Republican voting group
而在不久前的几届大选中 大学毕业生曾是共和党忠实的支持群体

视频及简介
这一集仔细分析了08年美国总统大选的选情，从教育程度、宗教、人种、郊县的发展趋势等各方面阐述了奥巴马获胜的原因，以及民主党08年支持率上升的具体趋势。亮点：是投给民主党还是共和党呢？这里面的奥妙特别多。跟性别、年龄、受教育程度、富裕程度、人种、宗教都有关系。80多岁老人可能更倾向于民主党，因为奥巴马对经济危机的乐观态度和许以民众的美好未来，让他们想起了罗斯福在面临大萧条时的英雄形象，对此，他们常怀感激。