听力文本

The only predominantly agricultural farm state that has over the last couple decades
它是过去几十年中唯一一个严重依赖农业
often voted for the Democratic Party and it really looks like is going to do so again this year
而又经常倾向民主党的州，现在看来它今年会再次倾向民主党
So you can see a pick up of many different areas but it's still a map that is predominantly red
虽然88年很多区域都发生了变化，但红色仍然覆盖了大部分区域
1992 with Bill Clinton's first victory, the green are counties that Bill Clinton won but won with less than 40%
92年克林顿首次赢得总统大选，绿色的县是克林顿获胜，但支持率小于40%的县
so you can see when you got that 3rd party the Ross Perot Party that really throws things off
可见当第三方候选人珀罗也加入到选举中时，的确会带来很大的变化
can also see a few counties that Perot won
我们可以看到珀罗在缅因北部赢得了一些支持
in northern Maine the purple there, actually Trinity County in California a few others in the west, a few in Texas
那些紫色的县，还赢得了加州的逊尼提县及加州西部一些县和德州一些县
You can see Clinton just winning states like Montana and Nevada with less than 40%
你会发现克林顿在蒙大拿和内华达均仅以低于40%的支持率获胜

That's again because Perot did very well in these states and essentially through the state level election
这也是因为珀罗在这些地方的州级选情战绩可观
And you can see the places like Indiana voting very heavily for the Republican candidate for George Bush Senior in this year
同时你还会发现印第安纳州等地在本次大选中极为倾向共和党候选人老乔治·布什
You can see some changes though
你还会看到一些明显的变化
You can see New England really shifting towards the Democratic Party
新英格兰地区在这次大选中转而倾向民主党
Many areas that previously had been voting Republican
很多过去的泛红地区转为泛蓝
You can see now northern California a coastal strip
同时在加州北部沿海有一条狭长的蓝色地带
where the counties like Marin, San Mateo Santa Clara that had been mostly voting Republican have now switched to the Democratic ticket
像马林县，圣马蒂奥县、圣塔克莱拉县这些过去泛红的地区都转而将选票投给民主党
so that's something that we are going to see a continuation of
且这种格局在后来的大选中得到了延续

视频及简介

这一集讲述了1972-2004年总统大选的历史与过程,介绍了近几届以来红蓝阵营的地理分布变化以及变化原因，对1972-2000年的总统选举进行了简略解释并非常详细地分析了2004年大选，对于全美大部分州的选情都进行了详尽的分析，可以阐述了08年大选前民调的趋势，可以从中瞥见近几年美国总统选举的发展变化。