听力文本

a lot of these patterns are long standing
但这些格局很多都由来已久
I thought I can get up with something like unionization in coal
我想着也许和煤矿，工会也有点关系
but here are two counties here they are both outside the coal belt
但这里有2个县 都位于图中的煤矿区外
so I can explain some of these coal counties in west Virginia voting for the Democrats
所以煤矿造成的影响可能可以解释西弗吉尼亚一些地区为何倾向民主党
it doesn't work in Kentucky
但对肯塔基则无效
so they're outside the coal belt they are both very poor
这2个县都在煤矿带以外 他们都很穷
here's a medium household income
这是全国的家庭平均收入情况
and you can see this zone here this is one of the poorest parts of the country
你看到这个地区 几乎是全国最穷的地区之一

certainly for a wide majority area it is the poorest part of the country
在所有的白人聚居区 它更是属于极度贫穷的地区
maybe under the Johnson administration there was a lot of money put into Appalachia
也许在约翰逊在任期间 不少资金投入了阿巴拉契亚地区
maybe in some of these counties there were more active programs
也许在这些县 有一些带活经济的计划
you have to get down to the county level and do the research
你需要到县里去 做一些调查才能知道
I don't think anyone is doing this kind of work
我想应该没什么人做过调查
most people don't find this sort of county level
很多人都对这些县的情况不感兴趣
they say 6,000 people in these counties who cares
一个县才6000人 谁在意
well they are not going to swing in the election but I just find it interesting
他们对选举结果起不到什么作用 但我觉得当地的情况很有趣
yes
请提问
the Minority Leader of the Senate Mitch McConnell from Kentucky
参议会的少数党领袖来自肯塔基的麦康奈
he's having a tough race he may not win
正面临一场艰巨的选举 他胜算不大
that's an interesting point and it'll be really interesting to see how Kentucky swings
这是个值得关注的事情 看着肯塔基如何转向民主党是个有意思的事情

视频及简介

这一集讲述了1972-2004年总统大选的历史与过程,介绍了近几届以来红蓝阵营的地理分布变化以及变化原因，对1972-2000年的总统选举进行了简略解释并非常详细地分析了2004年大选，对于全美大部分州的选情都进行了详尽的分析，可以阐述了08年大选前民调的趋势，可以从中瞥见近几年美国总统选举的发展变化。