听力文本

(question)
问题
oh absolutely fascinating question
这是一个很好的问题
the question is
他问的是
are there any statistics on breaking down age categories even further particularly the over-80 vote
有没有一些统计数据显示不同年龄段的投票情况 尤其是80岁以上选民的情况
which would be the demographic cohort that has a living memories of the Great Depression
对于80岁以上的这些人 大萧条时期的记忆应该仍然历历在目
and went through it that time
他们亲身经历了那场萧条
of course that was a much bigger economic crisis
当时的经济危机比现在严峻得多
Gross National Product declined about 40% between 1929 and 1933
国民生产总值在1929-1933年间下降了40%
but yes Roosevelt came in he was often viewed as a savior
直到罗斯福上台 他常被看作那场危机的救世主

it's interesting to...
有趣的是
Obama has something in common with FDR and Ronald Reagan
奥巴马身上有着和罗斯福和里根相似的品质
which is an optimistic way of talking about the country and the future
那就是他常常以乐观的口吻来描述美国的未来
so Reagan as Republican did as I think very effectively in the 1980s
共和党人里根 在80年代在这个问题上做得非常好
he came in...when Reagan came in in 1980 what was inflation 13-15%
里根上台时 美国正遭受着13-15%的通货膨胀
and he talked about better days ahead
他鼓励民众 美好的日子已经不远
and that was effective then and this is something that Obama has done as well
在当时起到了很正面的作用 而奥巴马现在恰好也在用这种伎俩
so the question is the over-80 population shifting in the Democratic direction because of memories of the Depression
因此80岁以上的人有向民主党靠拢的趋势 有可能是因为他们对大萧条记忆犹新
and viewing Obama in the same line as FDR
而他们从奥巴马身上看到了罗斯福的影子
I haven't seen the data it would be fascinating
我还仔细看选情的数据 这个问题很值得讨论

视频及简介
这一集仔细分析了08年美国总统大选的选情，从教育程度、宗教、人种、郊县的发展趋势等各方面阐述了奥巴马获胜的原因，以及民主党08年支持率上升的具体趋势。亮点：是投给民主党还是共和党呢？这里面的奥妙特别多。跟性别、年龄、受教育程度、富裕程度、人种、宗教都有关系。80多岁老人可能更倾向于民主党，因为奥巴马对经济危机的乐观态度和许以民众的美好未来，让他们想起了罗斯福在面临大萧条时的英雄形象，对此，他们常怀感激。