听力文本
yes
请提问
in Canada why Canada has moved in a more conservative direction
为什么加拿大正向一个更保守的方向发展
yes to some extent that has happened
某个程度上这的确是真的
but yet if you
但如果你...
the conservatives in Canada are not nearly as conservative as conservatives in the United States
加拿大的保守派人士并不如美国的保守派那么保守
and liberals tend to be somewhat more liberal maybe one way of looking at it
而他们的自由派则比美国的更开放 从某个方面来看是这样的
Alberta being a bit of an exception which even by American standard is fairly conservative
阿尔伯塔省是个例外 这个省即使用美国的标准评判 都是非常保守的
but elsewhere I say all of Canada is shifted somewhat to the left
但加拿大的其他地区都在往更开放的方向转变
in this way when you have to
这就好像
when you have Democratic systems like this as you get a pendulum
民主体系常常被比作一个钟摆
and you go back and forth between parties
在政党间摇摆不定
and if one party gets too strong and tries to push things too far in its direction
当一个党变得太强 并且过于把事情往利于他们的方向推进

then there will be eventual reaction and sort of pull it back
人们就会作出相对的反应 把它往反方向推
Canada and the United States may be just out of synchronization to some extent
只是加拿大和美国的情况 刚好处于不同步的情况中
but that's a good point
这是个很好的问题
but Harper's as received pluralities not majorities
哈勃至少获得了多数的票并非大部分
because they basically have a four-fought political system in Canada right you got the conservatives and liberals
因为加拿大形成的是一个四足鼎立的政治体系 四足分别是保守党 自由党
the New Democrats in the Party Quebecois
新民主党及魁北克党
so that makes this really complicated geographical arrangement
所以各党支持力量的地理分布的确非常复杂
Quebec is voting for its own sort of national party
魁北克人为他们自族魁北克党投票
which tends to be quite left on many issues
该党在很多问题上都较左倾
and so you get...and also it's a parliamentary system
所以...同时加拿大采取议会制度
so you get the more complicated coalitions forming
这导致各种联盟政团之间的关系更为复杂
I suppose might be one way of looking at it
我想这是加拿大政治的特点之间
what time do we have? we're out of time
还有多少时间 我们已经超时了
thank you very much
非常谢谢你们
our election obviously coming up
我们的大选结果即将揭晓
again I urge everyone to look at the course website
再次希望大家去看看课程网页
I'll post something tomorrow
明天我会在上面放些资料
but it's obvious under this discussion a lot of you know a lot more about certain places than I do
当然是与课程相关的内容 很多同学对某些地方的了解更甚于我
and I'd love to have your insight
我很愿意听取你们
any of these states, counties, parts of the country and their interesting voting patterns
对任何州任何县任何地方的意见 以及对他们选情特征的见解
so see you next week and thank you
那么我们下周见 谢谢你们

视频及简介
这一集讲述了1972-2004年总统大选的历史与过程,介绍了近几届以来红蓝阵营的地理分布变化以及变化原因，对1972-2000年的总统选举进行了简略解释并非常详细地分析了2004年大选，对于全美大部分州的选情都进行了详尽的分析，可以阐述了08年大选前民调的趋势，可以从中瞥见近几年美国总统选举的发展变化。