听力文本

Yes? Ok that's interesting his question is coal mining areas traditionally have intended to vote Democratic
请提问？他提了一个有趣的问题，过去的产煤区通常都会倾向民主党
although that is changing whereas places like Handford, Tri-Cities Area in Washington are Republican voting
虽然这正在逐渐改变，但在华盛顿州三核都市区的汉德福特却支持共和党
I think it has to do with unionization
我想这个工会化程度有关
and also there were many more coal miners many more blue collar workers certainly traditionally with relatively low levels of education
有很多煤矿工人和蓝领工人在过去的受教育程度都是较低的
Coal mining used to be very labor intensive as one of the problems in places like West Virginia
过去煤矿业是劳动力密集型的产业，但在一些地区，如西弗吉尼亚

where they've moved away from underground mining which is labor intensive to the strip mining which is capital intensive
煤矿开采从劳动密集型的地下开采转向了资本密集型的露天开采
and a lot of people have lost their jobs because of that
这导致大量采矿工人失业
but certainly in the old regime if you will, coal mining areas had lots of labors and they were fairly heavily unionized
但在过去的开采形式下，煤矿区是需要大量劳工的，而且这些劳工高度工会化
and still union membership correlates even today with Democratic voting
同时工会，即使在今天也常常与民主党的支持率联系在一起
not as much as it did back in the 1950s in the earlier generations but it still does to some degree
虽然联系已不如50年代那么密切，但仍然有一定程度的影响
whereas nuclear industry much less labor intensive much newer not having that kind of unionization, so that's a good point
然而在核能产业这样新兴且对劳工需求较少的产业则没有出现那样的工会化，这是个很值得关注的问题
Yes another question, the question is counties in the west swinging, because of things like water rights issues
好的，另一个问题，他的问题是西部的县摇摆不定是由于诸如水资源使用这样的问题
The biggest issue I just suppose is the general move towards cultural conservatism in the Republican Party
我刚才说过很大的一个原因是共和党逐渐地走上了保守主义的路线

视频及简介

这一集讲述了1972-2004年总统大选的历史与过程,介绍了近几届以来红蓝阵营的地理分布变化以及变化原因，对1972-2000年的总统选举进行了简略解释并非常详细地分析了2004年大选，对于全美大部分州的选情都进行了详尽的分析，可以阐述了08年大选前民调的趋势，可以从中瞥见近几年美国总统选举的发展变化。