经济学人:全球化放缓(1)
日期:2019-01-31 18:00

(单词翻译:单击)

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中英文本

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Slowbalisation
全球化速度减缓
A new pattern of world commerce is becoming clearer—as are its costs
一种新的世界商业模式正变得越来越清晰——其成本也是如此
When America took a protectionist turn two years ago, it provoked dark warnings about the miseries of the 1930s. Today those ominous predictions look misplaced. Yes, China is slowing. And, yes, Western firms exposed to China, such as Apple, have been clobbered. But in 2018 global growth was decent, unemployment fell and profits rose. In November President Donald Trump signed a trade pact with Mexico and Canada. If talks over the next month lead to a deal with Xi Jinping, relieved markets will conclude that the trade war is about political theatre and squeezing a few concessions from China, not detonating global commerce.
两年前,美国转向贸易保护主义引发20世纪30年代悲剧的黑暗警告V=V..6~i27a。如今这些不祥的预言似乎放错了地方d#TMhUx;2F。没错,中国正在放缓+SkaQ4KXQRlb^。且与中国联系密切的西方公司,如苹果公司,确实遭到痛击a@9@WZDGf[。但2018年全球增速尚可,失业率下降,利润上升b]P9i+6o,cqk05&U8[v9。11月,唐纳德·特朗普总统同墨西哥和加拿大签署了一份贸易协定uPvYP6h@v(vqj。如果下个月的谈判能和习近平主席达成协议,如释重负的市场将得出这样的结论:贸易战是一场政治戏剧,是为了迫使中国做出一些让步,而不是引爆全球商业x76NmIk7Y1%|mlojOF

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Such complacency is mistaken. Today’s trade tensions are compounding a shift that has been under way since the financial crisis in 2008-09. As we explain, cross-border investment, trade, bank loans and supply chains have all been shrinking or stagnating relative to world GDP. Globalisation has given way to a new era of sluggishness. Adapting a term coined by a Dutch writer, we call it “slowbalisation”.
这种自满是错误的+B.YK2)113;rm。如今的贸易紧张加剧了自2008-09年金融危机以来一直在发生的一种转变U[wX+9-Ror^xskUT5u-。正如我们所解释的,相对于世界GDP,跨境投资、贸易、银行贷款和供应链都在萎缩或停滞Ik_j5zv)g8RfJ8JML。全球化俨然已经让位给一个萧条的新时代Q6,_*dx!(cRJNOrQ。借用一位荷兰作家创造的术语,我们称之为“全球化减缓”V3(Y12SQuMd&&[!5OAO
The golden age of globalisation, in 1990-2010, was something to behold. Commerce soared as the cost of shifting goods in ships and planes fell, phone calls got cheaper, tariffs were cut and the financial system liberalised. International activity went gangbusters, as firms set up around the world, investors roamed and consumers shopped in supermarkets with enough choice to impress Phileas Fogg.
全球化1990年至2010年的黄金时代值得期待Qyg6vy!IPe。随着船舶和飞机运输成本的下降、通话成本的降低、关税的降低以及金融体系的自由化,商业活动大幅增长z%[jzGvI97cvSza9i。国际活动大获成功,随着公司在世界各地纷纷成立,投资者遍布各地,在超市购物的消费者选择多种多样,这些给斐利亚·福克留下了深刻的印象Fmf-lbYo[V;l%y

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词语解释

1.be exposed to something 使暴露于(危险或令人不快的境地)
They had not been exposed to most diseases common to urban populations.
他们未曾遭遇城市人口常得的大多数疾病CaoGL9z7F-^0xFlqi
2.under way 进行中的
An investigation is underway to find out how the disaster happened.
一项调查正在进行,以查明这场灾难是如何发生的IMhYBDs;##4[e

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