VOA慢速(翻译+字幕+讲解):IMF预测2015年世界经济走势
日期:2015-01-31 08:31

(单词翻译:单击)

8ZjD~+4T@^.5zkGAujX)ut#sG*%)_yW&L0

听力文本

2vj^3]kSNZpI-P

From VOA Learning English, this is the Economics Report.

&.z )3erd

Two recent economic reports warn that, although the world economy is growing, complicating issues like lower oil prices and conflict could hurt progress.

Im-XO*|frx|O

The International Monetary Fund, or IMF, has reduced its prediction for world economic growth from 3.8 to 3.5 percent. That is still an improvement over 2014. But, the international lender says some major economies are facing economic struggles.

_bN6JD|8IO~[jm

The price of oil is about half of what it was last June. The IMF's chief economist, Olivier Blanchard, says lower oil prices have helped many major economies, but investment has dropped in oil exporting countries.

6Udz8De,.6]EtEe

"On the one hand, major economies are benefiting from the decline in the price of oil," Blanchard says. "But on the other, in many parts of the world, lower long run prospects adversely affect demand."

@P(f[+Dr,QX.@@(k8

The United Nations also released a report called "World Economic Situation and Prospects 2015." UN economists predict growth this year will be 3.1 percent. They point out that crises like the Ebola outbreak in West Africa and conflict in Ukraine could hurt a world economy showing signs of improvement.

Q8N.14k~bL]I49

Many see cost-cutting as a barrier to growth. High debt levels have limited opportunities for expansion in Europe. Alfredo Calcagno is an economist with the U.N. Conference on Trade and Development. He says austerity programs suppress economic recovery. Greece, he said, is one example.

Wod;kgXiu(G~fHW*2Qt

The report predicts Africa's growth rate will increase reaching 4.6 percent in 2015 and 4.9 percent in 2016. East-African countries such as Ethiopia, Kenya and Uganda are doing well.

Y]Z0|=2Bh)qR3aY)d.p

"In these countries, what you have is investment in other areas like telecommunication, infrastructure. You have a rising middle class that also is increasing its demands."

UvDPp;a,VDH037Mu

But in Africa south of the Sahara Desert, IMF economists say growth expectations have weakened especially in Nigeria and South Africa. Falling prices of raw materials called commodities have also weakened expectations in Latin American and the Caribbean area.

@HbIXsAropSW3])A

Exchange rates can also influence economic growth. The value of the US dollar has strengthened while the euro and the yen have weakened. And that is not a bad thing for slowing European and Japanese economies says the IMF's Olivier Blanchard.

gVxQteYY7mOOX^tB1G2B

"The depreciation of the euro and yen will give a much needed boost to demand in those two parts of the world, which very much need an increase in demand."

xp5z|ph;]zAa*d@_bio

The U.S. also is expected to show good growth of over three percent this year.

TQp|qa4EXEVfZH]^[

UN economists expect East Asia to remain the fastest growing area with economic expansion of almost five percent. However, both IMF and the UN economists expect China's growth to be under seven percent in 2015.

kQHra]CPz;Nip1hS~XZ

And that's the Economics Report. I'm Mario Ritter.

[exl[sXCPr8HQWR

词汇学习

CmBovrtRh9rPsc,|N

1.warn vt. 警告,告诫;通知

~.g.PHq;#5RQe7

He spends his spare time visiting schools to warn pupils off drugs.
他用自己的业余时间访问学校,告诫小学生远离毒品gy^(c2VTN0SAm

fo5jGetY3._i

;1bWG@Py!2

2.complicating adj. 复杂的,麻烦的

+WCqE5&FX|gtQ

The ensuing December days brought to Clyde some pleasing and yet complicating and disturbing developments.
十二月接下来的一些日子给克莱德带来一些使人又得意又烦恼的复杂情况j&]#dlS9nMIdf5

9(3TmrYT;SY_b+OF0rG0

E4mmNb;y_EzG

3.prospect n.前景;期望

Gy[xy90SrX|Qfh-gj!n

Unfortunately, there is little prospect of seeing these big questions answered.
不幸的是,几乎不可能看到这些重大问题得到回复jX;NOFxpe0Lz

W*Nb&u&#IPgr6!s-!m

[AnH7zpFdY3(JJ^|

4.adversely adv.逆不利地;有害地

tY=!]yM8w^

Price changes must not adversely affect the living standards of the people.
物价变化一定不能给人们的生活水准带来负面影响D&ZN9m)_q*s%P@

gikGvjzMvmiZU#XQ

olswyfTop~

5.outbreak n.发作;爆发

mufbn%a%C,

This evidence supports their contention that the outbreak of violence was prearranged.
这一证据证实了他们的观点,即此次突发暴力事件是有预谋的]3r7eKPEb]^

kwozDJvj~0rnV~]

sSgR-m43T2j2u

6.suppress vt. 镇压,压制

bF5^~BA#NEVLU2(&%z

The Professor said that deep sleep allowed suppressed anxieties to surface.
教授说深度睡眠可以使压抑的焦虑情绪得以释放R9,;_T9BEW%I#v&F2X8r

-R0s@L1z4)717o@_7

%n~Y=v=5QLSs9&=w

7.weaken vt.& vi.(使)削弱;(使)变弱

y!rs4ZZEwRjs

The Bundesbank's seemingly impregnable position has begun to weaken.
德意志联邦银行看似不可撼动的地位开始削弱了VqoKO9L6.uFHZ+sB

yn7I3fJ0E@t

短语学习

I*Nso^.cE^#GsHE

1.On the one hand, major economies are benefiting from the decline in the price of oil.

_(UM*0(SGJ*

p]vb4#Wcy;NBCUOn

benefit from从……中受益

Jp~Jj&qb=!2vK*4m3.

He thought he would benefit from going to school.
他认为上学对他有好处upI;=Wt4x[!OUWm9GPrj

4(XODIdaG~

e)^iSPNs_]oD)70a

2.They point out that crises like the Ebola outbreak in West Africa and conflict in Ukraine could hurt a world economy showing signs of improvement.

2GCBU^CFA][[Y.cy7;I

wsrqBsTwrl#

point out指出,指明

|rd~wRo,65=

I wish to point out your misrepresentation of the facts.
我希望指出你的失实之处~2da.[4X)yEG_jX

DG6TZoOFz.y-|;

参考翻译

SefE9p0w9_E

美国之音慢速学英语节目,这里是经济报道s=vF&fg4eRJhEF

O)UM0yP!.;!

两份最新的经济报告警告称,虽然世界经济正在增长,油价下跌和冲突等复杂因素可能会妨碍经济回暖o5dj=a*&.,W~gF5VsI

%Ll~HpPDS[mvK6bMKe

国际货币基金组织(IMF)已经将世界经济增长率预期从3.8%降低到3.5%+)yys[~_%A;6n9R。与2014年相比仍然有所增加xzmK=Mm!W[.。但是这家国际借贷机构表示,一些主要经济体将面临经济困境I,KyK4rO!jRW,6#8

rwc98HEZg^P2H0..

石油价格只有去年6月份的一半左右+]hn2Ci4WHLU#-p@;*YP。国际货币基金组织首席经济学家奥利维尔·布兰恰德(Olivier Blanchard)表示,油价下跌为诸多主要经济体带来帮助,但是石油出口国的投资则出现下降_,bxeqPVtR&;o

niEPn53cS,

“一方面,主要经济体从油价下跌中获益]]u4Z!QOz-J。但另一方面,在世界上的很多地方,长期前景低迷反而对需求造成了负面影响]e;-&Wd~1,&EVYV)Y%G。”

bbFw+W1o~._E%

联合国也发布了名为《2015年世界经济形势和展望》的报告S2qmLGU-98。联合国经济学家预计今年的经济增长率为3.1%;j@T6pdZg^&mGHtG[G。他们指出,西非埃博拉疫情爆发和乌克兰冲突等危机可能会损害开始好转的世界经济t+zcqf+=+7j(

vnht6gD@eu

许多经济学家认为,削减开支是经济增长的障碍d6k&TNo.M|9pj_If))u#。高债务水平限制了欧洲的增长机会y^.80sUc&L。阿尔弗雷德·加尔加诺(Alfredo Calcagno)是联合国贸易和发展会议(UNCTAD)一名经济学家fIpG_QH)nVh]2.2。他说,紧缩政策抑制了经济复苏5AJ;hntTruoJ@jv0!。他说希腊就是一个例子;-t!72Oh[dYtqYRZBb

rIa3,OsFWzDss

该报告预测非洲2015年的经济增长率将增加到4.6%,2016年将增加到4.9%6*nn&PhajgrRXHyh~+W。埃塞尔比亚,肯尼亚和乌干达等东非国家表现都不错L9u^,~P|k1~3jeDsJEG[

+-YeNM[SGqxE5

“在这些国家,电信和基础设施等领域都能获得投资,不断崛起的中产阶级需求也在增加XqPnKFc~^]。”

4zXDFCx@Dowd0#NQEWk

但是国际货币基金组织经济学家表示,撒哈拉沙漠以南非洲地区的经济增长预期已经下降,尤其是尼日利亚和南非%c|ikzskmzz4R.F|Bn。原材料商品价格下跌也削弱了拉丁美洲和加勒比地区的预期kez)Gl=[zsseE@K

+7,75Wns2l(vA3V-xn*V

汇率也影响了经济增长A;fH)6i]=LYnLxX。美元价值走强而欧元和日元疲软1UMCct@s@D%%。国际货币基金组织的布兰恰德表示,这对发展迟缓的欧洲和日本经济来说不是一件坏事qg@DqUEg#d6lVQyW

cwQ3XSr@QjjNSVp

“欧元和日元贬值将给这两个地区的需求提供所需的推动力,而这两个地区亟需需求增长~fx;jhAeH+F。”

G*&*O0=#@5MJSMM|4

预计美国今年也将出现超过3%的增长势头rVLbcT[+udNGq149

B9MWHhpEf~m.]0)8rD0B

联合国经济学家预计东亚仍将是世界上经济增长最快的地区,增长率接近5%c[tTXm^f_mi)Wzr^y。然而,国际货币基金组织和联合国专家都预计2015年中国的经济增长率将会低于7%^&iZ!zdIg4

rpiwuN=&_Tgh&8;^gXn

以上就是本期经济报道的全部内容[kVtRN.H;C6;N=#5]2+g。我是Mario Ritter-+STp]ZAX-i[6h

lIh-vqKzuJR1S

译文为可可英语翻译,未经授权请勿转载!

NtHvsHjEwSLv#h0_psfutn1D9FTf#tKRI3]v;=0X#JR^_s;Z
分享到
重点单词
  • boostvt. 推进,提高,增加 n. 推进,增加 v.
  • predictionn. 预言,预报
  • contentionn. 争论,争辩,所持的论点 [计算机] 线路争夺
  • violencen. 暴力,猛烈,强暴,暴行
  • affectvt. 影响,作用,感动
  • austerityn. 朴素,节俭,苦行
  • disturbingadj. 烦扰的;令人不安的 v. 干扰;打断(dist
  • exchangen. 交换,兑换,交易所 v. 交换,兑换,交易
  • spareadj. 多余的,闲置的,备用的,简陋的 v. 抽出,饶
  • recoveryn. 恢复,复原,痊愈