美对俄富豪的经济制裁可能会起反作用
日期:2022-03-16 10:30

(单词翻译:单击)

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It is worth noting that a lot of these people -- I mean, not only are they rich people in Russia who are supporters of the Kremlin, but a lot of them go back with Putin for decades.

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值得注意的是,这些人中的很多人——我的意思是,他们不仅是俄罗斯的富人,是克里姆林宫的支持者,而且他们中的很多人在普京身边待了几十年It7##iTEm1hZT]Ww

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Igor Sechin, one of the people on the E.U. sanction list who, I imagine -- I don't have any information about this, but I imagine will likely be looked at by the U.S.

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伊戈尔·谢钦,他是欧盟制裁名单上的人之一,我想——我没有这方面的任何信息,但我想他可能会受到美国的调查T%Y1&%CXCDD

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His connections with Putin date to the 1990s.

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他与普京的关系可以追溯到20世纪90年代c8PFezpw0%

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He was the deputy head of Putin's administration for a number of years, and they're friends.

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他曾担任普京政府的副首脑多年,他们是朋友02z@_bf3%.~%&LnJ4

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So, you know, those kinds of connections are what the U.S. is going to be trying to be targeting.

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所以,你知道,这种联系正是美国想要瞄准的目标4a_b~ypfYVpIuyJ#hC

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Some of the billionaires have already come out and said, "We're against the war. Please don't sanction us."

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一些亿万富翁已经站出来说:“我们反对战争xF~wlLi&(@[P&1H;~=n|。 请不要制裁我们,litU@d_l9p~)V2A-。”

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The U.S. has often ignored those comments, but it really is anyone's guess the extent to which this will shift policy in the Kremlin.

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美国通常对这些言论不予理睬,但这将在多大程度上改变克里姆林宫的政策,谁也说不准pXZ-K~CHHy%D9#ZqdA0

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Has something like this been done before, leveraging sanctions against a specific individual?

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这样的事情以前做过吗-对特定的个人施加制裁?

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And when these things happen, do the people sanctioning get the results they want?

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当这些事情发生时,实施制裁的人得到他们想要的结果了吗?

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You know, one of the sanctions experts I spoke to, Adam Smith, who was a former Obama administration official, made the point to me that sometimes the sanctions have the opposite of the intended effect, right?

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你知道,我采访过的一位制裁专家,亚当·斯密,他曾是奥巴马政府的一名官员,他向我指出,有时制裁会产生与预期效果相反的效果,对吧?

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You think that what you're doing is deterring these oligarchs from supporting Putin,

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你认为你所做的是防止这些寡头支持普京,

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but in some ways, if they make the U.S. seem like the bad guy,

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但在某些方面,如果他们让美国看起来像个坏蛋,

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they could actually drive potential sources of defection into Putin's arms by giving them a reason to hate the U.S., sort of feeling the U.S. and its allies are treating them unfairly.

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它们实际上可能会推动这些寡头倒戈进入普京的怀抱,给他们一个憎恨美国的理由,让他们感觉美国及其盟友对他们不公平suzRaotcZo262

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You know, we will have to see.

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你知道,我们得等着瞧.MGB05)-H;Yno]Xxh6

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I mean, there are a lot of humanitarian sanctions that have had devastating impacts in other countries in different periods of time,

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我的意思是,有很多人道主义制裁在不同的时期对其他国家产生了毁灭性的影响,

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and there are legitimate questions about the extent to which the U.S. sanctions on Russia will do that.

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美国对俄罗斯的制裁会在多大程度上达到这一目的,这是合理的问题RX]|74Wu6!w^~,si9w

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We've seen reports of, you know, in the '90s, tens of thousands, maybe hundreds of thousands of civilians were killed by the U.S. sanctions of Saddam Hussein before the invasion.

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我们已经看到报道,在90年代,美国入侵前对萨达姆·侯赛因实施制裁,导致数万甚至数十万平民死亡4-7!huS=![2

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We're seeing an extremely dangerous situation in Afghanistan, where sanctions have been leading to a likely humanitarian crisis.

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我们看到阿富汗的局势非常危险,制裁可能导致人道主义危机HYBE%FgfK;MvYKY;

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The sanctions on the oligarchs and the freezing of their overseas assets does appear to be a different category.

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对寡头的制裁和冻结他们的海外资产似乎是另一种类型的制裁a6W6bDnGbio3j*J,p

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It's going after these rich guys with tons of assets, tons of liquidity, even in Russia, that they will be okay.

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制裁是针对这些富人,他们拥有大量资产,大量流动资产,即使在俄罗斯,他们也会没事的#%k,uiK~;b

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And so the humanitarian costs of these particular sanctions may be not so great, but the overall U.S. strategy to cripple the Russian economy, you know, could do a lot of damage on a lot of innocent people.

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因此,这些制裁的人道主义代价可能不是很大,但美国削弱俄罗斯经济的整体战略,可能会对很多无辜的人造成很大的伤害=^P1HUc2,Tdg;fA

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Obviously, the need to do so, based on the invasion of Ukraine and the need to strike back at Russia, may overpower that.

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显然,基于入侵乌克兰和反击俄罗斯的需要,这样做的必要性可能会胜过这一点Zya#h-5gpn!6k+KgYfg

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