美国中期选举: 纽约州意外成为两党必争之地(3)
日期:2022-11-23 12:09

(单词翻译:单击)

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Yet, if the election were held today, public and private polling and interviews with strategists responsible for allocating budgets for races across the country suggest that Republicans, not Democrats, are now best positioned to flip seats in New York.

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然而,如果选举在今天举行,公开和私下的民调以及对负责为全国各地的竞选分配预算的策略师的采访表明,现在最有可能在纽约州翻转席位的是共和党,而不是民主党;3UTQ34lM05|Cn

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The Republican Party needs to net just five seats nationally to win control.

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共和党只需要在全国范围内获得5个席位就能赢得控制权k9jXgPiL8dbz!k^

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“We could build the majority just in New York State alone,” said Representative Elise Stefanik, the No.3 House Republican whose North Country district is considered safe.

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“仅靠纽约州,我们就能赢得多数席位i*_]D=-YI5#E。”众议员伊莉斯·斯特凡尼克说,她是众议院共和党三号人物,其所在的北部选区被认为是安全的7,!eiFv(X;=[9uR

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That might have been different, she added, but when it came time to redistrict, Democrats “got greedy and overreached.”

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她补充说,情况原本不会是这样,但在重新划分选区时,民主党“变得贪婪和不自量力”g[L4#DHYxmnC6

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Almost all of the contests are playing out in diverse, affluent suburbs and working-class bedroom communities that encircle New York City, where the fault lines mirror those animating close contests from Virginia to Pennsylvania to Nevada — only magnified to Gotham size.

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几乎所有的竞争都在纽约市周围多样化、富裕的郊区和工薪阶层的睡城进行,那里的断层线反映了从弗吉尼亚州到宾夕法尼亚州,再到内华达州的激烈的竞争——只是这种竞争被放大到了哥谭市的程度,c~~r.lW*,T#)@eGcu

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No state, arguably, is more identified with protecting abortion rights, the heart of Democrats’ campaign message about Republican extremism — or with the soaring costs of living and elevating crime that Republicans believe will motivate their base and win back suburban swing voters who abandoned them during the Trump presidency.

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可以说,没有哪个州比纽约州更认同保护堕胎权,这是民主党关于共和党极端主义的竞选信息的核心,也没有哪个州比纽约州更能体会生活成本飙升和犯罪率上升,共和党人认为,这些将激励他们的选民基础,并让他们赢回在特朗普总统任期内抛弃他们的郊区摇摆选民Xxgg==Ohi7m16z

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The political landscape has led to something of a headache for political strategists trying to predict voting patterns and could still lead to surprises on election night.

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政治形势给试图预测投票模式的政治策略师带来了一些令人头疼的问题,而且仍可能在选举之夜带来惊喜^~~7DO6dx-=LB9=(^t

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“The top-of-mind issues in 2022 are scrambling the traditional assessment of districts,” said Isaac Goldberg, a Democratic consultant working on several of the races.”

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参与多场竞选的民主党顾问艾萨克·戈德堡表示:“2022年最重要的一些问题正在扰乱对选区的传统评估3p1RGjX#k#。”

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“You have traditionally Republican voters saying they will never vote for a pro-life candidate,” he said, “and you have traditional Democratic voters uninterested in the national Democratic brand.”

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“传统的共和党选民说他们永远不会投票给反堕胎的候选人,”他说,“而传统的民主党选民对民主党关于堕胎权的招牌立场不感兴趣2P,@WBw!O%VK。”

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