科学美国人60秒:棒球大伽谈论棒球大数据
日期:2019-11-22 11:36

(单词翻译:单击)

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This is Scientific American's 60-second Science, I'm Steve Mirsky.
"I think there will come a time when we will experiment with an automated strike zone."
Rob Manfred, the commissioner of Major League Baseball. Manfred spoke February 27th at the SportTechie State of the Industry conference at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn. As the name suggest, SportTechie deals with the intersection of sports and technology. Back to Manfred on the automated strike zone:
"The technology has gotten much, much better. We are much closer to being able to do that. But, you koow, the way I always answer this question, and it remains my answer, is whether you have the technology or not, I think this is one of those areas where you have to think about the management of the game on the field. The source of authority for umpires...or one of the sources for their authority is that call a ball or strike on every single play in a baseball game. And before you alter that fundamental dynamic you really have to think through what the consequences of that's going to be."

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棒球裁判.jpg
Manfred also addressed the question of whether baseball analytics have gone too far. I can't get enough baseball data, but I know some fans think that all the numbers, and the reliance on them for decision-making, are taking some of the fun out of the game.
"I don't waste a lot of time on the question of whether there is a point where analytics goes too far. And the reason I don't is, it doesn't matter whether I think it's going too far or not, or even objectively whether it's gone too far. The fact of the matter is, that's how people are thinking about the game, ok? That's how they're analyzing the game, it's going to happen...you just can't tell people, I know you have available to you a way to determine with a lot of accuracy how good Rob Manfred is gonna be for the next five years before you sign him. But you know what? We don't really like that outcome, so we don't want you to think about it. I mean, that's not the real world."
The Major League Baseball season starts March 20th in Tokyo, where the Seattle Mariners will take on the Oakland A's.
For Scientific American — 60-Second Science. I'm Steve Mirsky.

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参考译文

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这里是科学美国人——60秒科学系列,我是史蒂夫·米尔斯基&A2kWfO)Nb,Qc@8!Xa
“我认为我们会迎来体验自动好球区的时代A=H6C9ur-,*46Xs-wb。”
美国职业棒球大联盟总裁罗伯·曼弗雷德说到%Bdp[3W#6q(Ku=zO^b。2月27日,曼弗雷德在布鲁克林巴克莱中心举行的SportTechie产业大会上发表了讲话|aiblowZySh7gC%*Wg)#。顾名思义,“SportTechie”涉及运动与科技的交叉内容o(#l8jS_IlH8175+e。现在回到曼弗雷德谈论自动好球区的讲话:
“技术水平越来越高k]UMa]DI9opoj0W)s。我们离‘自动好球区'时代已经非常近了E.;~yBi(+-!。但我总是用一种方式回答这个问题,这次我依旧会这样回答,那就是,无论你是否拥有技术,这都是你必须考虑的赛场管理区域之一A,BsM|o0vn。裁判权威的来源或者说来源之一,是在棒球比赛的每一回合喊出‘坏球'或‘好球'oY,lY()eonw3。在你改变这种基本动力之前,你必须考虑清楚改变会带来什么后果rusS;UVAEmELd。”
曼弗雷德还回答了棒球分析是否太过的问题,(tXKkeaG)1y。我个人觉得棒球数据越多越好,但我知道有些球迷认为所有数据以及决策方面对这些数据的依赖,使比赛失去了一些乐趣ooa,w@U6dy*W,vSzWp=
“我不会浪费很多时间来讨论棒球分析是否存在一个点,而现在是否过头了=mJd|AD2P2。原因是,我认为棒球分析是否过头都无所谓,甚至客观来说它是否太过也并不重要;(ICq@,bEoU。事实上,这就是人们的看法,对吧?这是他们分析比赛的方式,这是会发生的事情……你不能告诉他人,在我签下罗伯·曼弗雷德之前,我就有方法能非常准确地判断他在未来五年的表现2a&ihca4M|PE9F。但你知道吗?我们不喜欢这种结果,所以我们不希望你们去考虑oj+AH*1dd.-XBPn。我是说,那不是真实的世界)odi9UH&9ujLp。”
美国职业棒球大联盟赛季将于3月20日在东京开始,西雅图水手队将在那里迎战奥克兰运动家队lPv3yEr%6EHq7
谢谢大家收听科学美国人——60秒科学yxQaqNeLBQ&&eu=。我是史蒂夫·米尔斯基%#(.5RM1i9O.x4lG*Pd]

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译文为可可英语翻译,未经授权请勿转载!

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重点单词
  • accuracyn. 准确(性), 精确度
  • striken. 罢工,打击,殴打 v. 打,撞,罢工,划燃
  • robv. 抢劫,掠夺
  • determinev. 决定,决心,确定,测定
  • availableadj. 可用的,可得到的,有用的,有效的
  • conferencen. 会议,会谈,讨论会,协商会
  • authorityn. 权力,权威,职权,官方,当局
  • spokev. 说,说话,演说
  • reliancen. 信赖,所信赖的人或物
  • baseballn. 棒球