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听力文本
The only way for Democrat to win is if the Republican Party is fractured. That's how we lost our state -- last statewide race. Jim Rex won superintendent of education because Republicans were fractured on the other side. They're not fractured behind President Trump. The opposition is solid, but his support is, too. So, it's not in play. I'm happy they're here. I actually hope the Democrat nominee will come up. I hope Republican nominees will go to states that we are not gonna win because that stands now. There are only 10 states that they need to bother to campaign then. Yeah, that's true. All the rest of them are gonna go red or blue. But this state is not in doubt in 2020. Let me just get, you know, The Political Observer of South Carolina politics. Let me get your take on how it looks. When you look at the latest RealClearPolitics for these Democratic candidates, and they are going to a very -- you know, a lot could change over the next two nights because some people may drop out of this thing forever and some people may really do well in these debates and prove themselves to be players. But Joe Biden is at 41 percent in South Carolina. Sanders at 13, Elizabeth Warren at 12, Buttigieg at eight and a half, Harris at eight, Cory Booker who is really trying to, you know, sort of get into this race is 4.5 percent there.
Why is Joe Biden so popular do you think with Democrats in South Carolina? They know him. He actually, if memory serves me, eulogize Strom Thurmond. I think Lindsey Graham tells a hilarious story about Joe Biden. I mean, he gets along, got along with Fritz Hollings. He's popular. I think Democrats in South Carolina are smart enough to factor in electability. And they think that he may be more electable than some of the other names you called. But he's a familiar face, and he's been to the state a lot, whereas the mayor and some of the others, this may be their first visit. I don't see anybody catching Joe Biden but a traditional Democrat nominee is not gonna win in South Carolina. It would require a nontraditional nominee, someone like Tulsi Gabbard. Yeah. Who is nontraditional? But I don't think a nontraditional nominee is going to be their nominee. So that's the dilemma they have. All right. Biden people know him. He's been around a long time. He eulogize Strom Thurmond. I think he's gonna probably win South Carolina on their side but I'm not an expert on Democrat politics. Well, we'll have to -- next time you'll have to tell us Lindsey Graham's funny story. Stick around for that. Trey Gowdy, thank you very much. He's in (Inaudible), I can't do it. I'm telling -- OK. Maybe offline. Thank you, sir. Good to see you tonight. Yes, ma'am. Thank you.
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参考翻译
共和党分裂是民主党人取得胜利的唯一方式
。这就是我们失去我们州的原因--在上次州级竞选时 。吉姆·雷克斯成功当选州教育督察长,因为共和党在另一边分裂了 。他们并非在特朗普总统当权时分裂 。共和党基础牢固,但他的支持也十分坚定 。因此,这并没有奏效 。我很高兴他们能来到这里 。我真的希望能够出现民主党提名者 。我希望共和党提名者能够去到我们并不会赢得的州,因为现在参选了 。只有10个州是需要他们操心去竞选的 。是的 。其余的州会变红或变蓝 。但这个州在2020年大选时的结果是确定的 。让我们来看看南卡罗来纳州政治观察员的说法 。再来看看你对此事的看法 。看看RealClearPolitics发布的关于民主党候选人的最新数据,他们将要--接下来的两晚可能会发生很大的变化,因为一些人将会被刷下去,另一些人可能会在辩论中取得良好表现,展示出他们的实力 。乔·拜登、桑德斯和伊丽莎白·沃伦在南卡罗来纳州的支持率分别是41%、13%和12%,布蒂吉格和哈里斯的支持率分别为8.5%和8%,科里·布克正努力参与这次竞选,他的支持率仅有4.5% 。为什么民主党人乔·拜登在南卡罗来纳州会如此受欢迎?他们认识他