科学美国人60秒:谷歌搜索同股票市场波动相关联
日期:2014-08-19 16:14

(单词翻译:单击)

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中英文本

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Wanna know what the most popular movies, albums and video games are?
想了解最近流行什么电影,唱片及电子游戏?
Ask the internet.
问问互联网就可以知晓cR)!S~5d.y-!pv
But don't Google it. Check what other people Googled.
但是不要用谷歌搜索od;w,hw4z7*D7a~d%R。看看其他人都搜索了什么![jtoM(Q1Z
That's the theory behind Google Flu Trends—which crunches search data to forecast flu prevalence.
这就是谷歌流感趋势背后的理论—通过搜索数据来预测流行趋势KZKdp6!UAzXna6Eq
With admittedly mixed results.
而结果应该是好坏参半Pj=kGos|Sc%0YAU
Nevertheless, researchers have applied the idea to the stock market.
尽管如此研究人员还是将这一观点运用于股票市场^XJqhREYyx1

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They found that when searches related to business and politics go up, the market tends to take a dive.
他们发现,当商业和政治的相关搜索增多时,市场就有暴跌的倾向ksou)pDhSO
Queries for words like "election," "senate," and "CEO" are predictive of the downward trend—but not terms like "church," "earthquake" and "geometry."
而当涉及“选举”、“参议员”及“首席执行官”这类词汇时,就会预示着市场下跌的趋势,而“教堂”、“地震”及“几何学”等则不会带来这样的效果t2Df0NORpEW@[F!
Why the correlation?
为什么会产生这样的关联?
The researchers say investors and the public may be more likely to search for information on business and government when they're concerned about the economy.
研究人员表示投资者和公众对经济状况前景表示堪忧时,他们更倾向于搜索商业和政府等的相关信息kk+6sfE^AgnXX4
And if confidence in the economy drops, so might stock prices.
而且如果他们对经济的信心下降,股票的价格也会下降Q@1]r#we.%|8tX-D
The findings appear in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
这项研究已经在《美国国家科学院院刊》上发表x|wsOn+e6Y6gF!7v%
Over time, the correlation weakened—a sign that traders may already be using Internet search data in automated trading algorithms.
随着时间的推移,这种关联性会变弱—有迹象表明股市交易员可能已经将网络搜索数据用于自动交易运算qSgeeZUi0%
"Generally speaking, if an opportunity like this is known, then the effect will diminish,
“一般来讲,如果已经知道有这种可能性,那么其产生的效果就会减弱Zj71vO~smZe3vkB
and that's what we think we're seeing in the data we looked at, from 2004 to 2012."
这就是我们认为要在2004至2012年这些数据中所能发现的东西ke@CAvNqn(H。”
Lead author Chester Curme, a research fellow at the Warwick Business School.
华威商学院首席研究员首席作者柯斯特柯尔姆说道8UV(ET4la2l19of
And before you head over to Google Trends, he says, keep this in mind:
他也表示在进行搜索趋势查询时你要铭记一点:
"If somebody knows that other traders use this method, then a predatory trader could manipulate search volumes on Google artificially in order to deceive other traders."
“如果有人知道有其他交易员使用这种方法,那么一位不怀好意的交易员为了欺骗其他人员,就会在谷歌上人为操控这些搜索数据#35id8Cd9sM2tLA
As they say in the biz: past performance does not guarantee future results.
正如商界人士经常挂在嘴边的:过去的表现并不能保证未来的结果0sOf.Mx#KV%[6290ApO0
词语解释

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1.apply to 适用于;应用于

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This should apply to any project.
这应该应用于任何项目fKX%0b7m[bOQqe

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These regulations apply to everyone, without exception.
这些规章对谁都适用,没有例外r=MQ)wyiUGp(KO!eu1Yw

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2.search for 寻找;搜索

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The default is to search for all categories of vehicles.
默认的设置是在所有的 汽车 分类中搜索m~fkB#1#B3p

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AND:If you want to search for documents that contain more than one word, use the AND operator.
如果你需要搜索包含一个以上关键词的文档,那么就需要使用 AND 操作符%Fi1Gaf%K@aecgRBgh#

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3.in order to 为了

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In order to compass our object we must work hard.
为了达到我们的目标,我们必须努力工作5.=XcaoEm)LuDR

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He polished off his work in order to see his girlfriend.
为了去见女朋友,他匆忙地做完手头的工作Ta.%H8,Z7ZMUDP

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重点单词
  • concernedadj. 担忧的,关心的
  • compassn. 指南针,圆规 vt. 图谋,包围,达成
  • deceivevt. 欺骗 vi. 行骗
  • guaranteen. 保证,保证书,担保,担保人,抵押品 vt. 保证,
  • electionn. 选举
  • correlationn. 相互关系,相关
  • exceptionn. 除外,例外,[律]异议,反对
  • defaultn. 假设值,默认(值), 不履行责任,缺席 v. 默认
  • academyn. 学院,学术,学会
  • predictiveadj. 预言的,预兆的