TED演讲(视频+MP3+双语字幕):为什么智能统计数据是打击犯罪的关键(4)
日期:2020-05-25 10:45

(单词翻译:单击)

听力文本

And all of this matters greatly, because public safety to me is the most important function of government.
所有这些事项都很重要,因为我认为,保证公共安全是政府最重要的职能。
If we're not safe, we can't be educated, we can't be healthy, we can't do any of the other things we want to do in our lives.
如果人身安全无法保证,我们就不能接受教育,就不能保持身体健康,就不能做生活中想要做的任何事。
And we live in a country today where we face serious criminal justice problems.
今天我们生活的国家面临着严重的刑事司法问题。
We have 12 million arrests every single year.
我们每年有1200万起拘捕行动。
The vast majority of those arrests are for low-level crimes, like misdemeanors, 70 to 80 percent.
绝大多数的拘捕行动是针对低级的犯罪行为,像轻罪,这些占据了70%至80%。
Less than five percent of all arrests are for violent crime.
不到5%的拘捕行动是针对暴力犯罪。
Yet we spend 75 billion, that's b for billion, dollars a year on state and local corrections costs.
然而,我们每年花费750亿美元,以十亿为单位,作为国家和地方的修正成本。
Right now, today, we have 2.3 million people in our jails and prisons.
此时此刻,有230万人被监禁在看守所和监狱里。
And we face unbelievable public safety challenges
我们在公共安全方面面临着惊人的挑战

数据分析

because we have a situation in which two thirds of the people in our jails are there waiting for trial.
因为现在的形势是监狱中有三分之二的人在那里等待审判。
They haven't yet been convicted of a crime. They're just waiting for their day in court.
他们至今还没有被判定有罪。他们一直等着出庭受审,
And 67 percent of people come back. Our recidivism rate is amongst the highest in the world.
其中有67%的人会重返社会。我们是世界上累犯率最高的国家之一。
Almost seven in 10 people who are released from prison will be rearrested in a constant cycle of crime and incarceration.
几乎每释放10个人就有7个将会再次被逮捕,这是一个恒定的犯罪和监禁的周期。
So when I started my job at the Arnold Foundation, I came back to looking at a lot of these questions,
所以,当我开始在阿诺德基金会工作时,回头看了很多这类问题,
and I came back to thinking about how we had used data and analytics to transform the way we did criminal justice in New Jersey.
重新思考了我们怎样利用数据和分析转变了新泽西州的刑事司法。
And when I look at the criminal justice system in the United States today,
后来我注意到当今国家的刑事司法系统,
I feel the exact same way that I did about the state of New Jersey when I started there,
我觉得应使用同样的方法即首先在新泽西州使用的那种方法,
which is that we absolutely have to do better, and I know that we can do better.
毫无疑问我们要做得更好,而且我知道我们可以做得更好。

演讲介绍

当安妮米尔格拉姆2007年出任新泽西州的司法部长之时,很快便发现了某些惊人的事实:她的团队不仅对蹲监狱的人不甚了解,而且也无法确定他们所作的判决是否真正加强了公众安全。因此,她展开了一次鼓舞人心的探索,即将数据分析与统计分析应用到美国刑事司法体系当中。


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