听力文本

I'll just do a few more states and then we'll open it up
我再讲几个州 然后就自由讨论
as I mentioned before you can see
我之前提到过
here's Allegheny County where Pittsburgh is
这是匹兹堡所在的阿勒格尼县
it was Democratic voting and still is
这里一如既往地支持民主党
but a lot of the surrounding counties had shifted
但它周围的很多县已经转红
this is what McCain was hoping for
这正是麦凯恩想看到的
more than offset in the greater Philadelphia area
这些区域的票数足以压过费城对民主党的支持
and this is a transition
这是一个重大的转变
we've been seeing for some time
其实过去很长一段时间

Philadelphia even the city itself was Republican voting
就连费城市区本身都是支持共和党的
often into the 1950s was one of the last major eastern cities that have a Republican mayor for example
20世纪50年代时是这样的 费城是东部最后一个由共和党人担任市长的大城市
now Philadelphia is well over 80% Democratic voting
而现在费城对民主党支持率超过80%
but each election we see more of the suburban counties
但在每届大选中 我们都看到更多的郊县（转红）
first it was the more well-established suburban counties
起初是那些较为完善和殷实的郊县（转红）
that is Montgomery County?
那个是蒙哥马利县吗?
is that right?
没错吧?
but now it's also some of the outer suburban counties are shifting as well
现在连更加外围的郊县也开始转红
not all of them
也并非所有县都有这个趋势
not Lancaster or York
例如兰卡斯特和约克就没有
but certainly a number of them
但的确有很多县正在转红
Centre County
中央县
that's where State College is
州立大学就坐落在这
Penn State
宾夕法尼亚州立
I've been trying to figure out Elk County which is a rural county up in the northern mountains
我一直在思考艾尔克县的选情 它是北部山区的一个农村县
it may be again amenity seekers moving into this area
可能人们也是出于自然环境的考虑移居过去
the people wanting the forest and woods
喜欢那里的自然森林和植被
I don't know
我也不了解

视频及简介
这一集仔细分析了08年美国总统大选的选情，从教育程度、宗教、人种、郊县的发展趋势等各方面阐述了奥巴马获胜的原因，以及民主党08年支持率上升的具体趋势。亮点：是投给民主党还是共和党呢？这里面的奥妙特别多。跟性别、年龄、受教育程度、富裕程度、人种、宗教都有关系。80多岁老人可能更倾向于民主党，因为奥巴马对经济危机的乐观态度和许以民众的美好未来，让他们想起了罗斯福在面临大萧条时的英雄形象，对此，他们常怀感激。