听力文本

Counties heavily settled by people from the Netherlands Dutch counties
这些县都聚居着大量来自荷兰的居民
You know the Netherlands is one of the most liberal countries in the world
众所周知，荷兰是世界上最为开放的国家之一
Dutch areas in America tend to be very Republican and I think it's connected with the Dutch Reformed Church
荷兰人聚居的区域常极度倾向共和党，我想这与荷兰归正教会的影响有关
and a certain brand of sort of Calvinist Christianity
该教会有着浓烈的加尔文主义色彩
These counties here oh this part of Michigan, if we have time we will see that, very heavily Republican voting
这些县以及密歇根部分地区，时间允许我们等会会看，都是极为倾向共和党的
So there is some correlation here
可见这其中有一些联系
Oh yes, Iowa ethanol, I should brought that up, thank you
对，爱荷华的乙醇制造业，我忘记说了，谢谢补充
In Iowa ethanol subsidies will convert them in what way
乙醇生产津贴如何转变爱荷华的选情

Yeah well, John McCain did not make the ethanol pledge right? and Obama did
麦凯恩没有作出鼓励乙醇生产的承诺，而奥巴马作了
And that really cost McCain's support in Iowa, so Iowa went in the last election for Bush
这导致麦凯恩在爱荷华失宠，虽然上届大选爱荷华支持布什
Right now Obama has a commanding lead in Iowa and there's probably a connection there
而今奥巴马却在爱荷华一马当先，这很可能和这个原因有关
But it's interesting you can go from this Sioux County, economically they look just the same
有意思的是，从苏县到其他县区，他们的经济情况几乎相似
Corn and soy beans, but yet they can vote very differently
依靠谷物及黄豆种植，但他们的选情却大相径庭
I don't want to say this is the explanation, I'm just trying to find any sort of correlation I can
不能断定乙醇就是造成差异的原因，但我在尝试寻找其中的联系
Let's move into the south Arkansas it's interesting, it has a
来看南部的州，阿肯色是个有趣的州，它有一名
Democratic governor, I think it has two Democratic senators, although very blue dog Democrats, very sort of conservative Democrats
民主党州长及两名民主党参议员，但他们都是蓝狗阵营的民主党人是非常保守的民主党人

视频及简介

这一集讲述了1972-2004年总统大选的历史与过程,介绍了近几届以来红蓝阵营的地理分布变化以及变化原因，对1972-2000年的总统选举进行了简略解释并非常详细地分析了2004年大选，对于全美大部分州的选情都进行了详尽的分析，可以阐述了08年大选前民调的趋势，可以从中瞥见近几年美国总统选举的发展变化。