美国总统选举中的地理学(MP3+双语字幕) 第137期:1972-2004美国总统大选(5)
日期:2017-07-04 13:43

(单词翻译:单击)

听力文本

It's really interesting to see where Perot did the best
仔细研究一下珀罗的选情将会很有意思
because when you get somebody as third-party candidate, you can see some things that disappear when you just look at the two parties
因为当有第三方竞选者加入大选时,你会发现有些模式消失了,在只有两个政党参选的时候
As you can think of states like Alaska and Utah and Idaho and Kansas very Republican voting states
像阿拉斯加,犹他,爱达荷,堪萨斯这样的州都一定会坚定倾向共和党
as recently states like Mississippi, Tennessee Alabama, South Carolina have been
就像近几年的密西西比,田纳西,阿拉巴马和南卡罗来纳那样
but when you came to Ross Perot a very very different story indeed
然而当珀罗也加入竞选,情况则变得截然不同
Perot came in second in Maine after Clinton, second in Utah as well, so he did very well in the west
珀罗在缅因州的支持率紧随克林顿之后,在犹他州支持率也排名第二,他在西部战绩出色
not well at all in the south, so again you can see this real distinction between
在南部则表现平平,同时在其他选区你也能看到明显不同
美国政治漫画

Intermountain West and the South-east, they often both over Republicans, but underneath there are some very very different patterns
在东南部和山间地带州区常常倾向支持共和党,而加入了第三方后的情形发生了变化
We will see that again in some of the other campaigns
我们还会再其他大选中看到类似情况
1996 Clinton running again, Perot still in there, but his support has declined significantly
1996年克林顿竞选连任,珀罗也再次参选,然而他的支持率却有明显下降
This map in 1996 looks a lot like the previous one again
图中96年的选情与92年极其相似
Clinton certainly winning his home state of Arkansas
克林顿轻取家乡堪萨斯州
Louisiana gained a solid swath of states, to the middle of the country loses Colorado but picks up Arizona
路易斯安那往北仍是坚固的蓝色阵营,在中部地区,虽输掉了科罗拉多,却拿下了亚利桑那
loses Georgia but picks up Florida, otherwise it's pretty much the same map
输掉了乔治亚州但赢得了佛罗里达,除此之外,与92年的选情几乎相同
You can see Clinton came very close to getting the majority didn't quite do it in this election
可以看到克林顿赢得了几乎过半的选民投票(49.2%),但仍未超过50%

视频及简介

这一集讲述了1972-2004年总统大选的历史与过程,介绍了近几届以来红蓝阵营的地理分布变化以及变化原因,对1972-2000年的总统选举进行了简略解释并非常详细地分析了2004年大选,对于全美大部分州的选情都进行了详尽的分析,可以阐述了08年大选前民调的趋势,可以从中瞥见近几年美国总统选举的发展变化。


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